Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ADA prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-02-09 0.000196 0.000219 0.000244 0.000272 0.000304 0.000338 0.000378
2025-02-16 0.000162 0.000192 0.000228 0.000271 0.000322 0.000381 0.000455
2025-02-23 0.000136 0.000171 0.000213 0.000268 0.000336 0.000420 0.000529
2025-03-02 0.000115 0.000152 0.000199 0.000262 0.000345 0.000452 0.000598
2025-03-09 0.000101 0.000139 0.000189 0.000260 0.000358 0.000488 0.000675
2025-03-16 0.000089 0.000128 0.000181 0.000260 0.000371 0.000526 0.000758
2025-03-23 0.000081 0.000120 0.000176 0.000260 0.000386 0.000567 0.000847
2025-03-30 0.000073 0.000112 0.000169 0.000258 0.000396 0.000601 0.000930
2025-04-06 0.000067 0.000106 0.000165 0.000260 0.000412 0.000644 0.001027
2025-04-13 0.000061 0.000100 0.000160 0.000261 0.000425 0.000683 0.001124
2025-04-20 0.000056 0.000094 0.000154 0.000257 0.000431 0.000712 0.001205
2025-04-27 0.000053 0.000092 0.000155 0.000266 0.000458 0.000776 0.001349
2025-05-04 0.000050 0.000088 0.000153 0.000269 0.000476 0.000829 0.001483
2025-05-11 0.000046 0.000084 0.000150 0.000272 0.000494 0.000883 0.001623
2025-05-18 0.000043 0.000080 0.000146 0.000271 0.000505 0.000926 0.001749
2025-05-25 0.000039 0.000075 0.000140 0.000266 0.000509 0.000956 0.001853
2025-06-01 0.000036 0.000071 0.000136 0.000265 0.000518 0.000997 0.001982
2025-06-08 0.000034 0.000068 0.000132 0.000265 0.000531 0.001045 0.002128
2025-06-15 0.000032 0.000065 0.000130 0.000266 0.000545 0.001098 0.002288
2025-06-22 0.000030 0.000062 0.000126 0.000264 0.000553 0.001139 0.002429
2025-06-29 0.000028 0.000060 0.000125 0.000266 0.000569 0.001197 0.002610
2025-07-06 0.000026 0.000058 0.000122 0.000266 0.000583 0.001251 0.002786
2025-07-13 0.000025 0.000055 0.000118 0.000263 0.000587 0.001285 0.002923